Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 3.379100 3.577960 3.790086 4.034566 4.310324 4.613875 4.976322
2025-06-22 3.022296 3.279722 3.567785 3.918237 4.339151 4.836864 5.483639
2025-06-29 2.730732 3.015043 3.344333 3.761524 4.287999 4.948783 5.874956
2025-07-06 2.536521 2.841910 3.206234 3.684763 4.316935 5.157801 6.432877
2025-07-13 2.464852 2.806608 3.228076 3.805327 4.611389 5.766240 7.719165
2025-07-20 2.371823 2.735277 3.195560 3.848169 4.804119 6.270107 9.035573
2025-07-27 2.339083 2.736109 3.254251 4.019229 5.207234 7.197875 11.600424
2025-08-03 2.284741 2.703219 3.262905 4.117831 5.515623 8.062139 14.750999
2025-08-10 2.191318 2.610998 3.180928 4.070625 5.575574 8.482664 17.237171
2025-08-17 2.069610 2.473342 3.025193 3.894784 5.387908 8.350171 17.896533
2025-08-24 1.979974 2.375305 2.920227 3.789449 5.311746 8.443081 19.577030
2025-08-31 1.923293 2.319868 2.873086 3.771229 5.390624 8.910757 23.709973
2025-09-07 1.866253 2.267250 2.835602 3.780567 5.554771 9.737327 33.438662
2025-09-14 1.785770 2.177979 2.738756 3.683621 5.499274 9.994497 41.900037
2025-09-21 1.701668 2.080133 2.624028 3.547658 5.347292 9.939659 48.349589
2025-09-28 1.640853 2.013257 2.552937 3.481362 5.332923 10.312321 69.702131
2025-10-05 1.625655 2.011436 2.581260 3.591449 5.721514 12.281207 1910.114239
2025-10-12 1.595660 1.986215 2.571075 3.631148 5.963999 14.024566 NaN
2025-10-19 1.590641 1.997533 2.619425 3.785214 6.530961 18.218910 NaN
2025-10-26 1.572530 1.987967 2.632853 3.873899 6.964164 23.073606 NaN
2025-11-02 1.532139 1.942472 2.583744 3.832205 7.020784 25.484754 NaN
2025-11-09 1.473883 1.867526 2.481873 3.675096 6.706747 23.873534 NaN
2025-11-16 1.429637 1.812978 2.412426 3.580667 6.571195 24.061466 NaN